2026开年贵金属市场掀热潮:金银继续上涨 铜能否接棒?|一周市场观察
发帖时间:2026-03-21 07:49:10
\u003cdiv class=\"rich_media_content\"\u003e\u003cp class=\"formatted\" style=\"font-size: 19px; line-height: 30px; margin-bottom: 30px; text-align: justify\"\u003e封面新闻记者 朱珠\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp class=\"formatted\" style=\"font-size: 19px; line-height: 30px; margin-bottom: 30px; text-align: justify\"\u003e2026年伊始,贵金属延续去年强势涨势,短短两周内集体大幅飙升。特别日,现货黄金盘中刷新历史高位,达美元/盎司,年内涨幅%。现货白银史上首次站美元/盎司大关,盘中最高触.49美元/盎司,日内涨%,年内涨幅突破%。\u003c!--MID_AD_0--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_0--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_0--\u003e\u003cp class=\"formatted\" style=\"font-size: 19px; line-height: 30px; margin-bottom: 30px; text-align: justify\"\u003e与此同时,LME铜、锡等工业金属板块也跟随金银上涨,尤其是铜,1日,伦敦金属交易所期铜一度创出每美元的历史新高。\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp class=\"formatted min-title\" style=\"font-size: 19px; line-height: 30px; margin-bottom: 30px; text-align: justify\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 21px\"\u003e\u003cstrong class=\"fm-min-title\"\u003e金银开年延续涨势\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp class=\"formatted\" style=\"font-size: 19px; line-height: 30px; margin-bottom: 30px; text-align: justify\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 21px\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e白银已上涨%\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp class=\"formatted\" style=\"font-size: 19px; line-height: 30px; margin-bottom: 30px; text-align: justify\"\u003e回年,\u003c!--SECURE_LINK_BEGIN_0--\u003e贵金属\u003c!--SECURE_LINK_END_0--\u003e无疑是全球资本市场中最亮眼的资产类别之一。金价方面,其走势呈现“震荡上行”主线。全年月-8月进入横盘整理阶段,以月下旬月中旬出现小幅回调外,其余时段均保持明确上涨趋势,年内国际\u003c!--SECURE_LINK_BEGIN_1--\u003e现货黄金\u003c!--SECURE_LINK_END_1--\u003e最高价触美元/盎司。\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp class=\"formatted\" style=\"font-size: 19px; line-height: 30px; margin-bottom: 30px; text-align: justify\"\u003e进年,金价涨势得以延续,1日刷新历史高点美元/盎司,1日小幅回落美元/盎司。国内消费端同步升温,金饰克价半个月内累计上元,1日金饰价格已攀升元/克。\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp class=\"formatted\" style=\"font-size: 19px; line-height: 30px; margin-bottom: 30px; text-align: justify\"\u003e相较于黄金的稳健上涨,曾长期扮演“配角”的白银年完成逆袭,涨幅跑赢黄金。全年白银累计涨幅高%,约为黄金同期涨幅的两倍,年内最高价达.97美元/盎司。白银高波动、行情集中的品种特性再度凸显:上半年整体维持平稳运行,6月上旬以突美元/盎司为起点,正式开启高波动上行行情。\u003c!--AI_AD_1000--\u003e\u003c!--AI_AD_2000--\u003e\u003c!--MID_AD_1--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_1--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_1--\u003e\u003cp class=\"formatted\" style=\"font-size: 19px; line-height: 30px; margin-bottom: 30px; text-align: justify\"\u003e值得注意的是,6月份金银比一度突的高位,成为驱动白银补涨的核心动力,年末时段,白银更上演了“史诗级暴涨暴跌”的剧烈波动行情。进年,白银涨势依旧迅猛,半个月内累计涨幅突%,并实美元/盎司的历史性突破。\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp class=\"formatted min-title\" style=\"font-size: 19px; line-height: 30px; margin-bottom: 30px; text-align: justify\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 21px\"\u003e\u003cstrong class=\"fm-min-title\"\u003e2026年涨势能否延续?\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp class=\"formatted\" style=\"font-size: 19px; line-height: 30px; margin-bottom: 30px; text-align: justify\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 21px\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e机构:铜或能接棒黄金\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp class=\"formatted\" style=\"font-size: 19px; line-height: 30px; margin-bottom: 30px; text-align: justify\"\u003e美联储政策动向始终是影响金银价格的关键变量。首创期货研究院分析师党靖翔认为,在特朗普政府施压下,2026年美联储会提供较多利多支撑。预年美国通胀继续维持%-3%的温和状态,下半年通胀可能稍有回落。\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp class=\"formatted\" style=\"font-size: 19px; line-height: 30px; margin-bottom: 30px; text-align: justify\"\u003e“长线角度继续维持看多黄金白银,白银长期有比黄金更好的前景,但由于当前白银价格存在泡沫,且逼仓不具备现实基础,因此白银年一季度可能出现暴跌修复的行情,待估值修复后,才能重启上涨,当前金银比已经跌。”党靖翔表示,2026年,国际金价看美元上方,沪金看元/克以上。白银方面,70美元上方明显高估,投机情绪难以持续,但由于波动大,多空皆有较高风险。\u003c!--MID_AD_2--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_2--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_2--\u003e\u003cp class=\"formatted\" style=\"font-size: 19px; line-height: 30px; margin-bottom: 30px; text-align: justify\"\u003e不仅仅是黄金白银,进 年,锡、铜、铝、锂、锌等金属价格同步开启上行通道,其中铜价的强势表现已成为市场新的关注焦点。据悉,随着AI算力需求呈指数级增长,单个芯片功耗从数百瓦飙升至数千瓦,对设备的散热性能和导电性能提出严苛要求,进而推动数据中心用铜需求激增。在此背景下,AI数据中心、新能源汽车、工业机器人等新兴领域的用铜需求快速扩张,成为支撑铜价上涨的核心力量。\u003c!--MID_AD_3--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_3--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_3--\u003e\u003cp class=\"formatted\" style=\"font-size: 19px; line-height: 30px; margin-bottom: 30px; text-align: justify\"\u003e\u003c!--SECURE_LINK_BEGIN_2--\u003e中信建投\u003c!--SECURE_LINK_END_2--\u003e研报指出,2026年大概率美国AI持续,全球经历资本开支增扩的短暂繁荣,铜金将完成教科书般完美接力,2026年金价或弱年,值得期待的是铜。直到新秩序框架明朗,新的强势国际货币走向台前,届时黄金的“黄金”时代迎来真正句号,这是黄金的长期逻辑。\u003c!--MID_AD_4--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_4--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_4--\u003e\u003cp class=\"formatted\" style=\"font-size: 19px; line-height: 30px; margin-bottom: 30px; text-align: justify\"\u003e但多家机构提示了工业金属的短期波动风险。\u003c!--SECURE_LINK_BEGIN_3--\u003e高盛\u003c!--SECURE_LINK_END_3--\u003e发布观点认为,13000美元/吨以上的铜价难以长期维持,预年四季度LME铜价回落美元/吨。\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e【如果您有新闻线索,欢迎向我们报料,一经采纳有费用酬谢。报料微信关注:ihxdsb,报料QQ:3386405712】\u003c/b\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cstyle\u003e.rich_media_content{--news-tabel-th-night-color: #444444;--news-font-day-color: #333;--news-font-night-color: #d9d9d9;--news-bottom-distance: 22px}.rich_media_content p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]){letter-spacing:.5px;line-height:30px;margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance);word-wrap:break-word}.rich_media_content .qn-editor-copy p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]){letter-spacing:unset;line-height:unset;margin-bottom:unset;word-wrap:unset}.rich_media_content{color:var(--news-font-day-color);font-size:18px}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not([data-weui-theme=light]):not([dark-mode-disable=true]) .rich_media_content p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]){letter-spacing:.5px;line-height:30px;margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance);word-wrap:break-word}body:not([data-weui-theme=light]):not([dark-mode-disable=true]) .rich_media_content .qn-editor-copy p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]):not(.qn-editor-copy){letter-spacing:unset;line-height:unset;margin-bottom:unset;word-wrap:unset}body:not([data-weui-theme=light]):not([dark-mode-disable=true]) .rich_media_content{color:var(--news-font-night-color)}}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]){letter-spacing:.5px;line-height:30px;margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance);word-wrap:break-word}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content .qn-editor-copy p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]){letter-spacing:unset;line-height:unset;margin-bottom:unset;word-wrap:unset}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content{color:var(--news-font-night-color)}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content{font-size:18px}.rich_media_content p[data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]{margin-bottom:11px}.rich_media_content\u003ediv:not(.qnt-video),.rich_media_content\u003esection{margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance)}.rich_media_content hr{margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance)}.rich_media_content .link_list{margin:0;margin-top:20px;min-height:0!important}.rich_media_content blockquote{background:#f9f9f9;border-left:6px solid #ccc;margin:1.5em 10px;padding:.5em 10px}.rich_media_content blockquote p{margin-bottom:0!important}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content blockquote{background:#323232}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not([data-weui-theme=light]):not([dark-mode-disable=true]) .rich_media_content blockquote{background:#323232}}.rich_media_content ol[data-ex-list]{--ol-start: 1;--ol-list-style-type: decimal;list-style-type:none;counter-reset:olCounter calc(var(--ol-start,1) - 1);position:relative}.rich_media_content ol[data-ex-list]\u003eli\u003e:first-child::before{content:counter(olCounter,var(--ol-list-style-type)) '. 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